SAWS introduces new impact-based severe weather warning system

The South African Weather Service (SAWS), in collaboration with Disaster Management, announced that a new weather warning service has been introduced across South Africa. 

This weather warning service is known as the Impact-Based Severe Weather Warning System which will change the current threshold-based warnings into impact-based warnings 

What this means is that a meteorological threshold, for example 50 mm of rain in 24 hours, is not necessarily needed to be met for a warning to be issued. If the anticipated rainfall is expected to result in an impact, a warning will be issued. 

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Image via: SAWS

WHAT ONE CAN EXPECT FROM THE NEW WEATHER WARNING SYSTEM 

  • Warnings will be easier to understand; 
  • Less use of meteorological jargon and scientific wording; 
  • Warnings only issued if an impact is expected to occur; 
  • Warnings will be easier to translate; 
  • Warnings will be unique to hazard and area; and  
  • Joint ownership of warnings between the South African Weather Service and Disaster Management. 

Impact-Based weather warnings will be issued for the following hazards: 

  • Disruptive rainfall
  • Severe thunderstorms (heavy downpours/large hail/large amounts of small hail/damaging winds); 
  • Damaging winds; 
  • Disruptive snowfalls; 
  • Reduced visibility; 
  • Damaging waves; and 
  • Storm surges. 

Weather warning levels will be colour-coded, using the robot system (yellow, orange and red). The colours will be dependent on the combination of the anticipated impacts and the likelihood of that impact occurring.

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Image: SAWS

Fire danger warnings will still be issued according to thresholds as these are governed by an Act of Parliament. A warning will be issued if the index is higher than 75. A full fire danger index forecast map is available here and is updated daily. 

TEMPERATURE ADVISORIES 

In addition to weather warnings, advisories will be issued for the following phenomena: 

  • Extremely high temperatures: When the maximum temperature is expected to be at least 40˚C;
  • Extremely low temperatures: when the maximum temperature is expected to be 10 ˚C or below;
  • Heatwave conditions: The maximum temperature is 5˚ higher than the average temperature for the hottest month for three consecutive days;
  • High discomfort is considered when the temperatures exceed 42˚C and the relative humidity is at least 40%; and
  • Frost: The first frost of the season or where frost is not a common occurrence in the area.

The purpose of issuing an advisory is just to alert the general public to the possibility of unusual conditions relating to temperature. 

SAWS said the main aim of the Impact-Based Severe Weather Warning System is for weather-related warnings to be better understood so that they reach more South Africans and the required actions can be taken well ahead of time in order to mitigate possible impacts. 

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